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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+7.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.06+6.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.39+3.91vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+4.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.20+5.80vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.93+5.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80+0.49vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.27vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-2.79vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.92-3.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.37-1.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-0.81vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University3.43-8.25vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.59-9.77vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.61-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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12.55Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.14Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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6.75Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Quinn Wilson | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 20.8% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Max Clapp | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Peter Neal | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| Luke Welker | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 28.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.