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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.03+6.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+6.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.60+6.50vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.49+6.50vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.95+3.40vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+2.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97+0.76vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-3.48vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-0.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69+2.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.18-1.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.43-3.10vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.16-0.91vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.26-3.55vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.54vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.29vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.05-6.50vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University0.46-6.93vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.12-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Brown University2.036.2%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.806.7%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University1.605.6%1st Place
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10.5Northwestern University1.493.8%1st Place
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8.4Boston College1.955.7%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University1.946.6%1st Place
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4.5Yale University2.4218.4%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University1.975.4%1st Place
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5.52Yale University2.5512.8%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University2.105.0%1st Place
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13.13Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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10.91Bowdoin College1.183.4%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University1.434.4%1st Place
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13.09Tufts University1.161.6%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University1.263.3%1st Place
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13.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.5%1st Place
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14.71Maine Maritime Academy0.411.4%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island1.053.0%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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18.38Williams College-1.120.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Shea Smith | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 4.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack Flores | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 11.4% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.