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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+5.04vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+6.29vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.92+5.75vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.06+4.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.39+1.83vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-2.42vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-1.49vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University3.43-5.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+0.14vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.20-3.42vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.93-3.38vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.37-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.83Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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12.62Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Max Clapp | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Luke Arnone | 8.5% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Quinn Wilson | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Luke Welker | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 27.8% |
| Stephen Duncan | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 22.2% |
| Peter Neal | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.