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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.12+6.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+10.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.39+3.95vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+2.86vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+4.16vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.92+1.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+1.85vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.59-2.68vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.28vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-2.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.37-1.88vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.06-5.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-7.29vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.20-4.39vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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12.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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6.95Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.86Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.32Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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12.66Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Luke Welker | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 28.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Max Clapp | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Peter Neal | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Quinn Wilson | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.