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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+5.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+8.03vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+5.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+4.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.06+2.99vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43+0.96vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.92+1.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+4.77vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-2.00vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.37+0.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-2.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.63vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.39-5.98vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.20-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-7.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.80-6.61vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.96Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.91Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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7.02Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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12.61Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Clapp | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Luke Welker | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 27.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Peter Neal | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Quinn Wilson | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.