Race 1B

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Henry Burnes 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.9% 8.1% 6.4% 6.2% 7.5% 7.3% 6.2% 5.7% 5.6% 5.1% 4.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Noah Simmons 6.5% 6.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.7% 6.4% 5.7% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 7.3% 6.4% 5.6% 6.1% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7%
Tucker Weed 6.1% 4.4% 5.8% 7.1% 5.7% 5.1% 6.5% 6.2% 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.7% 8.4% 7.0% 6.7% 3.5% 2.9%
Jack Gower 5.8% 6.4% 5.7% 5.2% 5.9% 5.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.4% 5.9% 8.2% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7% 5.6% 5.5% 2.2%
Wiley Rogers 9.8% 10.8% 8.2% 10.5% 7.1% 9.1% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.6% 3.6% 3.8% 3.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
Samuel Merson 5.7% 5.3% 5.1% 6.4% 5.8% 7.6% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.4% 6.5% 5.0% 6.6% 4.8% 1.9%
Robert Hunter 7.1% 7.7% 7.4% 5.6% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 6.8% 7.8% 7.5% 6.3% 5.9% 4.1% 4.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.0%
John Ped 5.2% 4.0% 5.4% 4.6% 7.2% 6.1% 4.6% 5.3% 4.8% 6.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.3% 6.9% 7.7% 8.7% 3.5%
Connell Phillipps 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.6% 4.8% 5.9% 5.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.8% 7.7% 8.9% 9.7% 10.0% 7.0%
Teddy Nicolosi 13.6% 12.9% 11.3% 11.5% 9.9% 6.8% 7.7% 5.9% 6.0% 4.9% 3.4% 1.8% 2.0% 0.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3%
Garrett Lawlor 4.1% 3.8% 3.3% 4.1% 3.6% 4.8% 5.1% 4.8% 5.2% 4.6% 6.7% 7.1% 6.0% 8.2% 9.7% 10.6% 8.3%
Casey Cabot 6.5% 7.0% 7.6% 7.6% 6.9% 7.0% 5.9% 7.1% 6.4% 6.6% 6.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5.0% 4.0% 3.6% 1.1%
Michael O'Flaherty 5.0% 4.2% 3.9% 3.1% 4.7% 4.4% 6.3% 6.6% 6.4% 6.5% 5.4% 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.9% 5.6%
Matt Long 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 7.7% 6.0% 7.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.8% 7.1% 5.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Will Davies 0.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.9% 3.5% 3.4% 3.9% 5.8% 6.4% 13.3% 47.0%
Riley Read 3.0% 2.7% 4.1% 4.0% 5.5% 4.6% 5.5% 5.8% 5.0% 6.9% 7.4% 5.8% 7.5% 7.9% 7.6% 9.7% 7.0%
Christopher Sharpless 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 4.8% 5.5% 4.6% 4.7% 5.4% 7.5% 8.7% 9.8% 11.8% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.