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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+5.79vs Predicted
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32.31+6.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.03+5.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+4.00vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.07-0.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.50+0.71vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.62-0.36vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.13+0.22vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.81-3.14vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.53-3.21vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-5.38vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.58vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.94-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.91-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.79Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.652.310.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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6.64Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.79Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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14.36Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Riley Read | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Gower | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 6.6% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Will Davies | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 46.9% |
| Matt Long | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.