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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.75+6.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+7.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+5.39vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.53+4.84vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.07+1.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.91+0.28vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81-0.46vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-1.30vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-4.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.62-2.41vs Predicted
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122.31-2.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-2.41vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.07vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.50-6.12vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.94-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.84Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.53Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.31Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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9.652.310.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.88Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.36Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Cabot | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack Gower | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Riley Read | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Matt Long | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| John Ped | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Will Davies | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 46.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.