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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+6.40vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+4.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+6.39vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.75+2.75vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.62+2.67vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50+1.91vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11+2.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+1.62vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.07-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28-1.09vs Predicted
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122.31-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.03-2.07vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-6.32vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.91-7.70vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.53-7.22vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.94-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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8.91Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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6.54Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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9.612.310.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.1%1st Place
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8.78Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.3Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.6% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Riley Read | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 7.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| John Ped | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Matt Long | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Gower | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Will Davies | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.