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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+7.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.71+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+5.93vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.46+0.83vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90+1.56vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+2.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.33+2.00vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.33+0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.26vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-1.86vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.09-2.11vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.95-2.33vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.13-4.03vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.68-3.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-4.22vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.23-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University3.460.2%1st Place
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6.56Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.74Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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10.67Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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9.97Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island1.680.0%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 17.1% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| John Walton | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Andre Guaragna | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| James Paul | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Mark Davies | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Kyle Nannig | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 17.4% |
| Thomas Green | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 18.3% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.