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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+5.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+6.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+6.09vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+5.40vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.09+4.80vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.13+2.75vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47+0.26vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.46-4.10vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.50-1.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64+0.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-4.52vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.95-2.31vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.33-4.90vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.33-6.02vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.68-4.38vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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10.26Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.75Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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4.9Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.69Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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9.1Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island1.680.0%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Green | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 20.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Mark Davies | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% |
| Andre Guaragna | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| John Walton | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 2.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 17.6% |
| Crew Fritsch | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.