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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+3.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+4.63vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.33+5.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+4.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+2.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.50+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.09+2.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.68+2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23-0.75vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-1.10vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-3.07vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.30-3.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-2.14vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.95-4.51vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-5.88vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.47-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Stanford University3.460.2%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.95Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Rhode Island1.680.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
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10.49Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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10.12Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 18.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Andre Guaragna | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| James Paul | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Kyle Nannig | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 17.9% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| John Walton | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Green | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 19.5% |
| Mark Davies | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.