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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+9.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.44vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+6.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.03+3.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+4.28vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.18+5.30vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.94+1.40vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.49+2.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-3.43vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.26+1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.05+0.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.16+1.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-0.06vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.95-5.73vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.19vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-7.88vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.97-8.42vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.46-5.94vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.45vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.12-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Tufts University1.433.9%1st Place
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4.44Yale University2.4217.2%1st Place
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9.8Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.037.4%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University1.605.1%1st Place
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11.3Bowdoin College1.183.0%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University1.946.2%1st Place
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10.63Northwestern University1.493.5%1st Place
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5.57Yale University2.5512.7%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University1.262.9%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island1.053.1%1st Place
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13.27Tufts University1.161.6%1st Place
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12.94Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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8.27Boston College1.956.9%1st Place
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14.81Maine Maritime Academy0.411.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.807.0%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University1.976.6%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University0.463.5%1st Place
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13.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.7%1st Place
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18.23Williams College-1.120.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.2% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Olin Guck | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 4.7% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 10.9% |
| Andy Yu | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 5.9% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.