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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+3.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+5.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64+7.67vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.47+3.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.23+3.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13+1.58vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30+0.30vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.33-1.14vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.95-0.39vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-2.00vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.50-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.09-3.87vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-7.57vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.68-4.36vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.33-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Stanford University3.460.2%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
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8.25Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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9.3Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.86Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.61Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island1.680.0%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 18.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Green | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 17.8% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Crew Fritsch | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Mark Davies | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| James Paul | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Nannig | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 17.6% |
| John Walton | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.