Race 6A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gerard Eastman 9.4% 7.9% 9.9% 11.8% 9.2% 10.6% 10.4% 10.5% 8.1% 6.1% 4.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Meredith Moran 9.2% 11.6% 10.5% 11.2% 10.7% 11.6% 10.0% 8.5% 7.2% 5.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Tyler Mowry 11.5% 12.7% 11.9% 13.0% 11.8% 10.1% 9.6% 6.7% 5.5% 5.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 22.6% 18.6% 16.2% 12.6% 10.4% 8.3% 6.3% 2.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ella Withington 6.8% 6.4% 7.0% 9.3% 7.4% 8.9% 8.5% 10.7% 10.8% 10.6% 10.4% 3.1% 0.1%
Christian Spencer 12.8% 14.2% 14.0% 11.7% 12.1% 9.0% 8.2% 6.9% 5.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 4.8% 4.1% 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 5.4% 7.1% 10.5% 11.5% 13.1% 17.0% 8.9% 0.5%
Aidan Molesky 4.0% 4.8% 4.9% 3.5% 5.8% 7.6% 8.5% 10.4% 12.2% 14.8% 13.8% 9.5% 0.2%
Adam Krzeszowski 4.7% 4.2% 5.4% 4.7% 7.3% 7.4% 8.1% 9.4% 13.9% 12.8% 12.7% 8.8% 0.6%
David Perez 4.8% 4.9% 4.7% 5.7% 7.2% 7.4% 9.1% 9.1% 11.3% 12.8% 14.2% 8.4% 0.4%
Richie Gordon 8.4% 9.5% 8.3% 9.0% 10.9% 10.7% 10.4% 10.7% 8.0% 7.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.7% 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 7.3% 14.1% 52.9% 4.5%
Stephen Turocy 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 1.5% 3.5% 93.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.