Race 7A

david-lee-arnoff

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tyler Mowry 12.3% 13.0% 11.6% 11.1% 12.5% 9.8% 9.1% 8.0% 6.4% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 23.3% 18.7% 16.8% 12.9% 10.6% 6.4% 4.8% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Molesky 3.0% 4.6% 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 7.2% 8.6% 10.2% 11.1% 14.1% 15.1% 10.1% 0.5%
Christian Spencer 13.2% 12.4% 13.8% 12.0% 10.3% 10.9% 9.0% 8.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Adam Krzeszowski 5.5% 4.8% 4.6% 6.8% 6.9% 8.0% 9.2% 8.3% 11.8% 13.3% 14.2% 6.2% 0.4%
Richie Gordon 8.3% 8.8% 9.2% 10.0% 8.3% 10.0% 11.3% 9.8% 8.9% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 10.1% 9.9% 9.6% 10.1% 9.2% 12.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 7.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 9.6% 11.9% 10.9% 11.3% 11.9% 10.4% 11.3% 7.5% 6.4% 5.0% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0%
David Perez 4.2% 4.4% 5.3% 6.9% 5.3% 6.4% 9.2% 10.0% 11.5% 12.9% 14.0% 9.2% 0.7%
Andrew Vernon 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 5.1% 8.1% 14.8% 50.3% 4.7%
Sherman Thompson 4.0% 4.0% 4.4% 6.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.3% 10.6% 10.5% 12.6% 15.2% 9.7% 0.5%
Ella Withington 5.5% 5.8% 7.5% 6.0% 9.1% 8.9% 8.4% 11.3% 11.7% 11.5% 9.8% 4.4% 0.1%
Stephen Turocy 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 1.1% 4.3% 93.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.