Race 9A

david-lee-arnoff

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tyler Mowry 11.5% 12.9% 11.7% 13.5% 8.8% 12.6% 8.9% 8.0% 6.2% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 9.5% 8.3% 11.4% 9.4% 10.2% 10.8% 9.7% 9.9% 7.8% 7.5% 4.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 23.0% 18.2% 15.9% 13.1% 10.7% 6.3% 6.2% 3.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
David Perez 3.7% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 7.6% 7.1% 8.1% 10.9% 11.4% 13.7% 13.4% 8.6% 0.4%
Adam Krzeszowski 4.8% 4.8% 5.6% 6.1% 6.8% 9.0% 8.7% 7.9% 12.1% 13.2% 13.7% 7.1% 0.2%
Richie Gordon 8.1% 9.1% 8.5% 8.3% 10.7% 10.6% 10.3% 10.3% 8.0% 8.3% 6.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Christian Spencer 13.5% 13.6% 12.9% 11.8% 11.2% 10.5% 8.1% 7.4% 5.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Aidan Molesky 3.6% 4.8% 4.1% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 8.8% 9.2% 11.4% 13.7% 15.3% 9.3% 0.2%
Sherman Thompson 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 6.3% 5.6% 7.8% 9.9% 11.8% 14.0% 16.0% 10.5% 0.8%
Ella Withington 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 8.4% 10.4% 10.1% 11.7% 10.5% 9.6% 3.7% 0.1%
Meredith Moran 10.8% 12.3% 12.3% 11.0% 11.5% 10.0% 9.9% 8.5% 5.3% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.2% 5.7% 7.6% 13.6% 52.0% 4.8%
Stephen Turocy 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 1.3% 3.6% 93.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.