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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.41vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.26+9.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+5.53vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+5.77vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.18+6.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60+3.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.03+1.02vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.49+2.47vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.43+1.07vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-4.41vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-2.55vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-3.81vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.95-4.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-0.24vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-1.97vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-3.96vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.16-3.95vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.12+0.22vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.41-4.22vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island1.05-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Yale University2.4218.4%1st Place
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11.38Northeastern University1.263.2%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University2.104.7%1st Place
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11.07Bowdoin College1.183.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University1.604.8%1st Place
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8.02Brown University2.036.1%1st Place
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10.47Northwestern University1.494.2%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.5512.6%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University1.975.9%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.807.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston College1.956.7%1st Place
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13.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.9%1st Place
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13.03Tufts University0.692.2%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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13.05Tufts University1.162.3%1st Place
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18.22Williams College-1.120.4%1st Place
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14.78Maine Maritime Academy0.411.2%1st Place
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11.71University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Roman | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 10.7% | 64.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 9.7% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.