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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+3.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.42vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+1.51vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.81+0.20vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88-1.01vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.34+0.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-0.46vs Predicted
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11Washington College-1.86+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.59+0.53vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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6.2Jacksonville University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.99SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Michigan0.340.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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11.96Washington College-1.860.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Pittsburgh-2.590.0%1st Place
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4.57Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Schofield | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sinead McManus | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 25.9% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ikeda | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan O'Connor | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 23.3% | 34.3% | 8.5% | 0.8% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 22.9% | 35.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| John Mecca | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 8.8% | 57.8% | 27.5% |
| McKenzie Brown | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 4.4% | 22.2% | 70.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 11.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.