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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+12.76vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49+8.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.03+4.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.16+9.00vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.18+6.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+3.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97+1.80vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.26+3.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.43+0.99vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-4.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.42-6.58vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.05-0.30vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.79vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.73vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.60-5.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-3.08vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.95-8.71vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.46-6.14vs Predicted
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19Williams College-1.12-0.78vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University1.94-11.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.6%1st Place
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10.52Northwestern University1.494.2%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.036.8%1st Place
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13.0Tufts University1.161.9%1st Place
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11.08Bowdoin College1.183.9%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University1.975.2%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University1.263.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
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5.44Yale University2.5512.3%1st Place
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4.42Yale University2.4218.9%1st Place
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11.7University of Rhode Island1.053.0%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.806.1%1st Place
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14.73Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University1.605.0%1st Place
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12.92Tufts University0.692.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston College1.956.5%1st Place
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11.86Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
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18.22Williams College-1.120.4%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University1.946.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Barry | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 6.9% |
| Shea Smith | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Martins Atilla | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Andy Yu | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 9.9% |
| Jack Roman | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 64.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.