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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.16+1.08vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.59+1.63vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35-1.15vs Predicted
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4Davidson College0.53-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.39-1.02vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-1.82-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Clemson University2.160.3%1st Place
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3.63Duke University0.590.1%1st Place
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1.85College of Charleston2.350.5%1st Place
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3.73Davidson College0.530.1%1st Place
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3.98University of North Carolina0.390.0%1st Place
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5.73Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Lisicki | 34.5% | 36.1% | 19.1% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Gregory Bachman | 7.0% | 12.8% | 22.4% | 29.2% | 25.1% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Chambers | 45.6% | 31.6% | 16.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Muller | 7.6% | 9.2% | 22.8% | 26.7% | 30.2% | 3.5% |
| Elliott Brennan | 4.8% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 27.2% | 33.5% | 7.5% |
| Logan Little | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.