Race 7B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jake Vickers 25.8% 19.4% 18.2% 12.9% 9.2% 6.3% 4.7% 1.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Phillip Schofield 11.8% 13.3% 12.2% 12.0% 13.6% 10.9% 8.4% 9.0% 5.3% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 7.7% 8.3% 11.4% 11.1% 13.3% 10.8% 11.9% 11.1% 8.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Bartel 10.7% 10.3% 9.7% 12.7% 11.5% 12.3% 10.7% 10.1% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 10.5% 10.4% 10.6% 10.3% 10.9% 12.8% 11.9% 9.5% 8.2% 4.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 13.5% 15.3% 13.4% 13.4% 11.4% 10.7% 8.3% 7.5% 4.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Cormac Murphy 8.2% 8.9% 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 11.4% 13.0% 11.4% 11.3% 7.0% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan O'Connor 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 2.4% 3.8% 7.8% 11.7% 28.4% 26.0% 7.1% 0.7%
Skye Shepherd 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 7.5% 6.9% 10.1% 12.9% 12.9% 15.7% 11.8% 5.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Maddie Talecki 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.1% 3.6% 7.2% 18.7% 39.9% 15.1% 3.0%
Ben McKissick-Hawley 4.5% 5.2% 7.1% 5.8% 7.8% 8.8% 11.4% 14.4% 17.2% 12.0% 5.0% 0.8% 0.0%
John Mecca 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 2.7% 10.9% 46.7% 35.5%
Caroline Westrick 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 2.4% 5.7% 28.9% 60.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.