Race 8B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Bartel 9.0% 10.8% 12.2% 11.2% 11.2% 13.0% 11.8% 10.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 10.0% 9.1% 11.2% 10.8% 13.0% 11.0% 10.9% 10.1% 8.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cormac Murphy 6.4% 6.6% 10.3% 8.2% 10.4% 11.6% 12.1% 12.8% 12.3% 6.7% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 8.2% 9.5% 10.0% 11.8% 11.6% 11.7% 11.9% 10.2% 9.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jake Vickers 27.5% 21.4% 15.0% 11.6% 10.9% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 13.6% 15.0% 12.3% 15.3% 11.6% 10.0% 9.3% 6.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben McKissick-Hawley 5.3% 5.4% 6.3% 7.8% 6.8% 7.4% 9.5% 15.0% 16.1% 13.0% 6.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Phillip Schofield 12.8% 12.6% 13.4% 11.6% 13.0% 12.0% 10.9% 6.8% 4.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 5.1% 6.1% 5.5% 7.6% 7.4% 9.6% 11.2% 13.4% 16.6% 11.9% 4.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Ryan O'Connor 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 3.8% 4.7% 6.4% 11.7% 25.6% 28.9% 6.8% 1.2%
Maddie Talecki 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.1% 3.7% 2.5% 5.6% 8.5% 19.3% 37.8% 15.5% 2.1%
John Mecca 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 4.0% 9.1% 47.1% 35.5%
Caroline Westrick 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 2.8% 5.4% 28.8% 61.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.