Race 11B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 14.7% 12.4% 11.7% 15.5% 13.0% 11.9% 10.2% 6.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Carraway 18.9% 18.2% 15.1% 14.5% 10.2% 10.2% 7.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 11.1% 9.8% 12.3% 9.5% 12.0% 12.8% 12.6% 13.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Samuel Bartel 9.9% 13.6% 12.3% 13.8% 12.2% 10.6% 12.2% 9.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 11.1% 11.0% 11.9% 11.9% 12.6% 12.0% 11.9% 9.6% 6.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 6.0% 7.1% 6.6% 6.6% 8.4% 11.6% 12.9% 18.1% 16.2% 5.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 17.6% 15.1% 14.8% 12.0% 13.1% 10.2% 8.6% 5.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Maddie Talecki 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 3.3% 3.5% 6.8% 19.4% 39.4% 17.5% 2.3%
Cormac Murphy 7.3% 9.0% 10.7% 10.8% 12.6% 13.1% 12.8% 14.0% 7.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan O'Connor 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 6.2% 10.9% 30.5% 28.9% 6.4% 0.8%
Caroline Westrick 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.8% 6.4% 26.7% 62.2%
John Mecca 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 3.0% 10.5% 48.0% 34.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.