Race 12B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Samuel Bartel 11.8% 11.0% 13.2% 10.6% 13.5% 11.9% 12.6% 9.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Phillip Schofield 13.8% 14.4% 14.1% 12.5% 12.6% 11.3% 9.9% 7.5% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 16.9% 14.5% 12.9% 14.0% 14.3% 9.4% 9.0% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Cormac Murphy 6.5% 9.6% 10.4% 9.7% 10.7% 12.1% 14.0% 14.9% 8.8% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 9.1% 9.4% 11.3% 13.3% 17.4% 14.2% 6.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 10.6% 9.5% 11.0% 11.5% 12.1% 13.6% 12.0% 11.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan O'Connor 2.2% 2.7% 1.9% 2.9% 2.4% 5.1% 6.3% 10.1% 29.5% 28.1% 7.5% 1.3%
Maddie Talecki 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 4.6% 7.2% 18.9% 40.6% 16.1% 1.9%
Charles Carraway 19.8% 19.1% 16.2% 14.6% 10.6% 8.7% 5.8% 3.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 10.9% 11.6% 11.5% 12.5% 11.5% 13.2% 11.5% 11.4% 4.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
John Mecca 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 3.9% 10.0% 46.4% 36.2%
Caroline Westrick 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 6.2% 28.7% 60.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.