Race 13B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Carraway 18.0% 17.8% 14.6% 14.8% 12.4% 9.3% 6.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 9.3% 12.7% 10.6% 12.4% 12.0% 13.3% 10.5% 11.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Cormac Murphy 9.3% 7.8% 10.6% 9.0% 9.9% 11.9% 15.5% 13.5% 9.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 14.7% 17.2% 13.9% 13.2% 12.1% 10.5% 9.6% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 11.6% 10.0% 12.7% 12.1% 12.4% 12.0% 9.6% 10.4% 7.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 6.8% 8.1% 10.4% 15.0% 17.7% 13.6% 8.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Samuel Bartel 12.9% 10.8% 13.3% 12.5% 12.3% 12.6% 10.6% 8.0% 5.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 4.6% 3.5% 4.7% 10.4% 20.6% 36.3% 12.0% 0.9%
Ryan O'Connor 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 2.5% 3.7% 4.0% 6.2% 11.5% 25.7% 32.9% 8.3% 0.5%
Phillip Schofield 15.1% 13.2% 13.2% 14.0% 11.8% 12.2% 9.9% 7.0% 3.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
John Mecca 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 1.3% 0.4% 2.8% 8.2% 48.2% 37.1%
Caroline Westrick 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 4.4% 30.2% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.