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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+0.90vs Predicted
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2Clemson University2.16+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.39+0.84vs Predicted
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4Davidson College0.53-0.27vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.59-1.24vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-1.82-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9College of Charleston2.350.4%1st Place
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2.03Clemson University2.160.4%1st Place
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3.84University of North Carolina0.390.1%1st Place
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3.73Davidson College0.530.1%1st Place
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3.76Duke University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.74Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Chambers | 41.4% | 35.6% | 16.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Drew Lisicki | 37.8% | 33.1% | 19.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Brennan | 7.3% | 8.5% | 18.7% | 28.5% | 32.4% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Muller | 6.7% | 10.4% | 23.1% | 26.7% | 29.5% | 3.6% |
| Gregory Bachman | 6.3% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 27.9% | 27.4% | 5.8% |
| Logan Little | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.