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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+8.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+3.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+8.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+4.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.03+0.88vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.41+6.48vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49+1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05+1.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+2.67vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.46+0.06vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.60-3.71vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.18-2.77vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-6.95vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.95-7.65vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-3.81vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.12+0.33vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.26-7.69vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University1.97-11.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77Harvard University2.103.8%1st Place
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5.46Yale University2.5512.8%1st Place
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4.27Yale University2.4218.6%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University1.946.0%1st Place
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13.42Tufts University1.161.7%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
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7.88Brown University2.035.8%1st Place
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14.48Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
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10.63Northwestern University1.494.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island1.053.0%1st Place
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13.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.9%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University0.462.6%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University1.606.2%1st Place
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11.23Bowdoin College1.182.9%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.807.2%1st Place
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8.35Boston College1.956.2%1st Place
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13.19Tufts University0.692.0%1st Place
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18.33Williams College-1.120.4%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University1.263.1%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University1.975.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.6% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Martins Atilla | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Shea Smith | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 6.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Jack Roman | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Andy Yu | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 65.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.