← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Catholic University of America-0.38+1.92vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-1.15+1.77vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia0.32-0.90vs Predicted
-
4American University-0.98-0.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-0.18-2.24vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-4.00-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92Catholic University of America-0.380.2%1st Place
-
3.77North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
-
2.1University of Virginia0.320.4%1st Place
-
3.58American University-0.980.1%1st Place
-
2.76University of Virginia-0.180.2%1st Place
-
5.87University of Maryland-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Walters | 16.8% | 24.8% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 0.7% |
| Adam Augustine | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 24.6% | 36.9% | 2.8% |
| Emma Sullivan | 40.0% | 27.5% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Fan Tai Bridges | 11.5% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 25.8% | 29.9% | 2.0% |
| Marion Hopkinson | 22.0% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% |
| UMD TEST | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.