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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.16+1.06vs Predicted
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2Davidson College0.53+1.74vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.59+0.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35-2.15vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.39-1.01vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-1.82-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Clemson University2.160.4%1st Place
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3.74Davidson College0.530.1%1st Place
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3.63Duke University0.590.1%1st Place
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1.85College of Charleston2.350.4%1st Place
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3.99University of North Carolina0.390.1%1st Place
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5.73Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Lisicki | 36.0% | 34.5% | 19.1% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Muller | 6.0% | 12.2% | 22.0% | 26.5% | 28.6% | 4.7% |
| Gregory Bachman | 8.1% | 10.3% | 23.4% | 29.4% | 26.0% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Chambers | 44.2% | 33.5% | 16.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Brennan | 5.4% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 26.9% | 33.8% | 7.9% |
| Logan Little | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.