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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+8.80vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+7.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+7.54vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26+6.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.03+1.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16+6.32vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-3.60vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.95-0.87vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.18+0.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69+1.19vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.97-4.33vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.94-5.50vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.49-4.57vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.43-5.81vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-4.78vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.27vs Predicted
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19Williams College-1.12-0.75vs Predicted
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20Maine Maritime Academy0.41-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Harvard University2.104.8%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University1.604.7%1st Place
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5.65Yale University2.5512.9%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island1.053.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.263.2%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.037.1%1st Place
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13.32Tufts University1.161.8%1st Place
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4.4Yale University2.4218.8%1st Place
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8.13Boston College1.957.0%1st Place
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10.96Bowdoin College1.183.9%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.807.1%1st Place
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13.19Tufts University0.691.6%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University1.975.9%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University1.945.5%1st Place
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10.43Northwestern University1.492.9%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University1.433.9%1st Place
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12.22Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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13.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.7%1st Place
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18.25Williams College-1.120.4%1st Place
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14.41Maine Maritime Academy0.411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Roman | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Andy Yu | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 63.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.