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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.32+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.18+0.63vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38-0.12vs Predicted
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4American University-0.98-0.40vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.15-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-4.00-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Virginia0.320.4%1st Place
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2.63University of Virginia-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.88Catholic University of America-0.380.2%1st Place
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3.6American University-0.980.1%1st Place
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3.89North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Sullivan | 37.1% | 30.3% | 18.5% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Marion Hopkinson | 25.3% | 24.3% | 23.3% | 17.1% | 9.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Walters | 19.4% | 21.2% | 23.8% | 23.9% | 11.1% | 0.6% |
| Fan Tai Bridges | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 23.7% | 32.4% | 1.9% |
| Adam Augustine | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 39.0% | 4.1% |
| UMD TEST | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 92.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.