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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-1.15+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.18+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.55-0.12vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-1.33vs Predicted
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5American University-0.98-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-4.00-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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2.44University of Virginia-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Virginia-0.550.2%1st Place
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2.67Catholic University of America-0.380.2%1st Place
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3.51American University-0.980.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Maryland-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Augustine | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 22.3% | 34.4% | 3.2% |
| Marion Hopkinson | 30.6% | 26.4% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 7.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 21.5% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 14.7% | 0.5% |
| Alex Walters | 25.0% | 23.0% | 23.9% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 0.5% |
| Fan Tai Bridges | 11.9% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 23.7% | 28.2% | 3.4% |
| UMD TEST | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 92.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.