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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.18+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.55+0.85vs Predicted
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3American University-0.98+0.43vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.15-0.38vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.38-2.21vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-4.00-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Virginia-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.85University of Virginia-0.550.2%1st Place
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3.43American University-0.980.1%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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2.79Catholic University of America-0.380.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion Hopkinson | 29.7% | 26.8% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 22.5% | 21.3% | 21.5% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 1.0% |
| Fan Tai Bridges | 13.3% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 24.5% | 27.0% | 1.6% |
| Adam Augustine | 11.7% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 34.2% | 2.4% |
| Alex Walters | 22.3% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 1.4% |
| UMD TEST | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.