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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-1.69+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.44-0.44vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-1.77-0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-2.73-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-4.020.00vs Predicted
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6American University-4.51-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66North Carolina State University-1.690.2%1st Place
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1.56University of Virginia-0.440.6%1st Place
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2.69Catholic University of America-1.770.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Virginia-2.730.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Maryland-4.020.0%1st Place
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5.38American University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Murphy | 17.3% | 27.9% | 32.5% | 17.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Weisenfluh | 59.2% | 27.5% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Lukas | 16.5% | 27.4% | 31.9% | 19.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 5.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 41.1% | 20.2% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Keller | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 43.2% | 35.8% |
| Kathleen Yellin | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 8.3% | 28.3% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.