← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia-0.44+0.62vs Predicted
-
2Catholic University of America-1.77+0.83vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-1.69-0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia-2.73-0.01vs Predicted
-
5American University-3.09-0.53vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-4.02-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.62University of Virginia-0.440.6%1st Place
-
2.83Catholic University of America-1.770.2%1st Place
-
2.75North Carolina State University-1.690.2%1st Place
-
3.99University of Virginia-2.730.1%1st Place
-
4.47American University-3.090.0%1st Place
-
5.34University of Maryland-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Weisenfluh | 57.8% | 27.1% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chris Lukas | 16.2% | 26.5% | 28.2% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Conor Murphy | 16.9% | 27.3% | 28.0% | 20.5% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Lothrop | 5.4% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 27.8% | 29.5% | 10.7% |
| Charles Degen | 2.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 21.6% | 33.2% | 24.1% |
| Elizabeth Keller | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 21.1% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.