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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-2.73+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.44-0.39vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.69-0.28vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.77-1.13vs Predicted
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5American University-3.09-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-4.02-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Virginia-2.730.1%1st Place
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1.61University of Virginia-0.440.6%1st Place
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2.72North Carolina State University-1.690.2%1st Place
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2.87Catholic University of America-1.770.1%1st Place
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4.47American University-3.090.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Maryland-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Lothrop | 6.0% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 26.6% | 29.2% | 12.0% |
| Matthew Weisenfluh | 58.2% | 27.5% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor Murphy | 18.5% | 27.9% | 25.7% | 19.6% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| Chris Lukas | 13.1% | 26.8% | 31.4% | 19.1% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| Charles Degen | 3.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 22.7% | 32.6% | 24.2% |
| Elizabeth Keller | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 21.7% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.