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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+6.34vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.75vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+4.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.31vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+3.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+1.22vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.03+5.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69+1.78vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82+4.38vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-1.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40+0.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-5.96vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-3.58vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-1.77vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.15-7.08vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.92vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-5.57vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.70-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.53Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.78Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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13.38Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.04Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.42Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.23Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.65Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 22.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Talia Toland | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.