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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+7.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+5.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+5.89vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+1.24vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.23vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-0.89vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69+0.85vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.15vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.03+0.91vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-0.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.86vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-3.90vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-6.12vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.82-3.54vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.36-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.89Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.47Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.77Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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12.91Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.37Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.88Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.46Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Emily Haig | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 18.7% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Talia Toland | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 24.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.