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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+8.81vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.18+9.06vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+6.80vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+1.52vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.41+9.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.03+1.74vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.94+1.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.16+5.14vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.98vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.60-0.63vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.49-0.53vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.97-3.16vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.42-8.52vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.26-2.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-1.88vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.05-4.42vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.95-8.85vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.90+0.39vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.28vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.46-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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11.06Bowdoin College1.183.1%1st Place
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9.8Harvard University2.104.0%1st Place
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5.52Yale University2.5513.0%1st Place
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14.79Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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7.74Brown University2.036.9%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University1.946.5%1st Place
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13.14Tufts University1.161.9%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.806.7%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University1.605.9%1st Place
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10.47Northwestern University1.493.1%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.976.5%1st Place
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4.48Yale University2.4217.2%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University1.263.4%1st Place
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13.12Tufts University0.692.7%1st Place
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11.58University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
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8.15Boston College1.956.2%1st Place
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18.39Williams College-0.900.4%1st Place
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13.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.7%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University0.463.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 10.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 4.7% |
| Andy Yu | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 66.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.