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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Davidson College0.53+2.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35-0.12vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.16-0.99vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.59-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.39-1.01vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-1.82-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Davidson College0.530.1%1st Place
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1.88College of Charleston2.350.4%1st Place
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2.01Clemson University2.160.4%1st Place
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3.67Duke University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.99University of North Carolina0.390.1%1st Place
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5.72Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Muller | 6.9% | 10.6% | 22.0% | 27.6% | 28.2% | 4.7% |
| Elizabeth Chambers | 43.8% | 33.5% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Drew Lisicki | 36.4% | 36.4% | 18.7% | 7.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Bachman | 7.0% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 29.0% | 26.4% | 3.3% |
| Elliott Brennan | 5.2% | 7.6% | 19.7% | 26.2% | 33.5% | 7.8% |
| Logan Little | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 9.9% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.