← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.99+7.82vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.70+8.06vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.72+2.98vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.06+4.28vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.35+2.12vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.43vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.40+4.10vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.69+1.84vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.15-1.09vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.25vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.04+1.71vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.19vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.77-3.57vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.36-3.01vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.37-8.00vs Predicted
-
16Yale University3.33-8.66vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.03-4.26vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.82-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.82Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.06Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
-
5.98Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.28Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.12Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.43U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
11.1Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.84Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
-
7.91Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
11.25University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
12.71Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
9.43Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
10.99University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.0College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.34Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.74Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
-
13.19Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Talia Toland | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 17.7% |
| Emily Haig | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 17.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.