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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+6.27vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+7.76vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+7.10vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+5.67vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+3.55vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-0.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+0.97vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-0.99vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86+4.19vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36+1.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-3.66vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.73vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-1.82vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.11vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.06-7.66vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.40-5.79vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.82-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.76Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.67Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.19Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.18Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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13.16Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 19.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Emily Haig | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Talia Toland | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.