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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+8.74vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+3.85vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+4.35vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.82+9.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.96vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+1.28vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70+1.79vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.99-0.45vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.37-2.71vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86+2.29vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-4.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.74vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-4.44vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.15-7.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-4.84vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-5.55vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.04-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.85Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.1Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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13.29Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.6Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.41Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 20.9% |
| Emily Haig | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 22.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.