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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+7.82vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+7.78vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+4.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+3.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+5.99vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+1.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+0.98vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+4.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.33vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86+3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-3.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.88vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-7.94vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-6.07vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-5.64vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.82-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.78Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.38Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.33Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.69Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy2.800.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.93Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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13.17Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Emily Haig | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Talia Toland | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 16.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 21.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.