← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.77+8.75vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.62vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.06+5.54vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.31vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.99+3.55vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.15+1.96vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.40+4.11vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.69+1.75vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.86+4.18vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.35-2.61vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.82+2.39vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.37-4.60vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.72-7.35vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.36vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University2.70-5.24vs Predicted
-
16Yale University3.33-8.76vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University2.04-4.32vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.36-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.75Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.54Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.55Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.96Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
11.11Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.75Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
-
13.18Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
7.39Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
13.39Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
7.4College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.65Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.64University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
9.76Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.68Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Emily Haig | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Talia Toland | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 19.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 24.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Howie | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.