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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.10vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+6.79vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+6.61vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+5.84vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.70+6.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.27vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55+1.29vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-2.91vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.28vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.96+1.06vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.50-2.32vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.64-3.72vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-1.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-2.74vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.55-2.57vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.44-3.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-8.88vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.16-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.06Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.28College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.43Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.96Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.76Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Carina Becker | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 20.3% |
| Dana Haig | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.