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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+7.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.64+5.15vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.96+6.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+0.85vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.50+2.57vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.49+1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+1.95vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.70+2.90vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64+2.35vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.92vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-3.35vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.53vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.16-5.08vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-4.35vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.44-4.04vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.26Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.63Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.85Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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11.9Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.65Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.92Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.96Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.36Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 19.3% |
| Carina Becker | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.