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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Davidson College0.53+2.78vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.59+1.61vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.99-0.88vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.39-0.14vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35-3.11vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-1.82-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Davidson College0.530.1%1st Place
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3.61Duke University0.590.1%1st Place
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2.12Clemson University1.990.3%1st Place
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3.86University of North Carolina0.390.1%1st Place
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1.89College of Charleston2.350.4%1st Place
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5.74Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Muller | 6.4% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 27.7% | 29.4% | 5.1% |
| Gregory Bachman | 8.7% | 10.9% | 23.7% | 27.6% | 25.2% | 3.9% |
| Kathryn Hodges | 33.1% | 35.7% | 19.9% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Brennan | 6.7% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 27.5% | 33.3% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Chambers | 44.3% | 31.8% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Logan Little | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 8.2% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.