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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.74+7.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+3.49vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+8.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+5.67vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.49+5.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.05+5.80vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95+1.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97+0.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60+0.23vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-5.69vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.18+0.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-3.92vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.16-0.96vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.43-5.00vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-2.97vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.94-8.52vs Predicted
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18Williams College-0.90+0.29vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.44vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.46-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Brown University1.745.9%1st Place
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5.49Yale University2.5512.2%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University1.263.2%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University2.104.5%1st Place
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10.39Northwestern University1.493.5%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island1.052.7%1st Place
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8.23Boston College1.956.4%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University1.976.0%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University1.605.7%1st Place
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4.31Yale University2.4219.4%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College1.182.9%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.807.2%1st Place
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14.58Maine Maritime Academy0.411.4%1st Place
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13.04Tufts University1.161.8%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.434.1%1st Place
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13.03Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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18.29Williams College-0.900.4%1st Place
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13.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.9%1st Place
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11.94Salve Regina University0.462.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Shea Smith | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Olin Guck | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Andy Yu | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 9.8% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Jack Flores | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 4.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 65.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 5.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.