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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+9.20vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+6.78vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+6.59vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+1.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+2.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.94vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.44+5.82vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-2.88vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64+3.10vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.65vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-3.26vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.96-2.36vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.70-2.38vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.55-2.59vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.16-5.97vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.77-5.28vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.49-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.2University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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8.78Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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12.82Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.12Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.74Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.64Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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11.62Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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12.41Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.03Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 19.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.9% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% |
| Carina Becker | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.