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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+8.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+7.31vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.96+6.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.91vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49+2.58vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64+0.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-2.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.50-0.49vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-1.44vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.08vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64+0.41vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.16-3.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-2.74vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.70-3.13vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.44-3.03vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.56-8.54vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.6Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.59Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.51Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.87Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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12.97Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.31Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Dana Haig | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 20.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Carina Becker | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.