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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+8.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+6.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+2.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+0.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+4.60vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.63vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.64-0.34vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.70+2.75vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15+0.10vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.81+0.35vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.88vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.44-0.48vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.49-5.89vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.16-5.29vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.55-3.60vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.64-4.91vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.77-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.82Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.75Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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11.35Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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12.52Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.71Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.4Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.09Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.0% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| AnaClare Sole | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Dana Haig | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 17.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Carina Becker | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.