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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+4.93vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+7.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.96+6.48vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.01vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.50+2.30vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.81+4.18vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.64-0.33vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49-0.72vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64+2.20vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.70+0.87vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-2.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-1.68vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.16-4.54vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.41vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.56-7.87vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.44-4.16vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.48Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.01Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.3Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.18Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.67College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.87Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.46Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.84Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.13Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.1% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| AnaClare Sole | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 19.2% |
| Carina Becker | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.