← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.16+8.98vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.15+8.05vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.38+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.18+1.66vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.70+6.59vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.49+2.34vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.77+4.48vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.03vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.64-1.26vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.55+2.51vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.02vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.64+0.33vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University1.96-2.57vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.30-5.12vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.44-2.35vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.30vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.50-8.55vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University1.81-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.98Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
-
10.05University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
-
5.17Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
5.66Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
11.59Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
8.34Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
11.48Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.03U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.74College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
12.51Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
12.33Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
-
10.43Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.88Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
12.65Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
-
8.7University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.45Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
-
11.04Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Carina Becker | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 16.6% |
| Dana Haig | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| AnaClare Sole | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.